Estimation of the impact of climate and hydrological changes on groundwater level in coastal aquifer

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Gorgan

2 Water Engineering Department, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources

3 Associate Professor, Department of Water Science and Engineering, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources

4 AAA

Abstract

In most cases, groundwater in coastal aquifers is the most important source of fresh water. Changes in climate and hydrological variables can have a significant impact on coastal aquifers. In this study, the effect of climate change on the Bandar-e-Gaz coastal aquifer in northern Iran was studied using the scenarios of the fifth report of the IPCC. Also, changes in hydrological variables such as future changes of the sea level, recharge and discharge of the aquifer were also studied using a numerical model. The results indicate that the used numerical model is reliable. An examination of the optimistic scenario review confirms that significant changes will not be made in the future for studied coastal aquifer’s water resources. The results of the pessimistic scenario reveal that in the near future (2040) a relatively limited part of the aquifer will be affected by groundwater decrease, but in the mid future (2070) a large part of the aquifer will face this problem, and a drop of 3 to 7 meters will be experienced. In addition, in the far future (2100) the decrease of groundwater level in the middle parts of the aquifer will be in the range of 10 to 13 meters.

Keywords

References

Ali, R., McFarlane, D., Varma, S., Dawes, W., Emelyanova, I., Hodgson, G., Charles, S. 2012. Potential climate change impacts on groundwater resources of south-western Australia. Journal of hydrology. 475: 456-472.
Ansarifar, Mohammad Mahdi., Salarijazi, Meysam., Ghorbani, Khalil., Kaboli, Abdol-Reza. 2019.  Estimation of Monthly Oscillations of the Groundwater Exchange in Coastal Aquifer. Journal of Ecohydrology. 5.4: 1233-1240
Benabdallah, S., Mairech, H., & Hummel, F. M. .2018. Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Groundwater Recharge for the Chiba Basin in Tunisia. In Groundwater and Global Change in the Western Mediterranean Area (pp. 27-33). Springer, Cham.
Carneiro, J. F., Boughriba, M., Correia, A., Zarhloule, Y., Rimi, A., & El Houadi, B. 2010. Evaluation of climate change effects in a coastal aquifer in Morocco using a density-dependent numerical model. Environmental Earth Sciences, 61.2: 241-252.
Elassaoui,n.,Amraoui,f.,Elmansouri,b. 2015. modeling of climate changes impact on groundwater resourses of berrechid aquifer. ijirset,7:5681-5695.
Earman, S., & Dettinger, M. 2011. Potential impacts of climate change on groundwater resources-a global review. Journal of water and climate change, 2.4: 213.
Feng, D., Zheng, Y., Mao, Y., Zhang, A., Wu, B., Li, J., ... & Wu, X. 2018. An integrated hydrological modeling approach for detection and attribution of climatic and human impacts on coastal water resources. Journal of Hydrology. 557: 305-320.
Guermazi, E., Milano, M., Reynard, E., & Zairi, M. 2018. Impact of climate change and anthropogenic pressure on the groundwater resources in arid environment. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. 1-20.
Ghazavi, R., & Ebrahimi, H. 2018. Predicting the impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge in an arid environment using modeling approach.International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management.
Hori, Y., Cheng, V. Y., Gough, W. A., Jien, J. Y., & Tsuji, L. J. 2018. Implications of projected climate change on winter road systems in Ontario’s Far North, Canada. Climatic Change.148.1-2: 109-122.
Kumar, C. P. 2016. Impact of climate change on groundwater resources. In Handbook of research on climate change impact on health and environmental sustainability (pp. 196-221). IGI Global.
Maiti, S., & Tiwari, R. K. (2014). A comparative study of artificial neural networks, Bayesian neural networks and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system in groundwater level prediction. Environmental earth sciences, 71.7: 3147-3160.
Moustadraf, J., Razack, M., Sinan, M. 2008. Evaluation of the impacts of climate changes on the coastal Chaouia aquifer, Morocco, using numerical modeling. Hydrogeology Journal. 16.7: 1411-1426.
Oude Essink, G. H. P., Van Baaren, E. S., & De Louw, P. G. 2010. Effects of climate change on coastal groundwater systems: A modeling study in the Netherlands. Water Resources Research, 46.10.
Ostad-Ali-Askari, K., Shayannejad, M., & Ghorbanizadeh-Kharazi, H. 2017. Artificial neural network for modeling nitrate pollution of groundwater in marginal area of Zayandeh-rood River, Isfahan, Iran. KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering. 21.1: 134-140.
Salem, G. S. A., Kazama, S., Shahid, S., & Dey, N. C. 2018. Impacts of climate change on groundwater level and irrigation cost in a groundwater dependent irrigated region. Agricultural Water Management. 208: 33-42.
Stigter, T. Y., Nunes, J. P., Pisani, B., Fakir, Y., Hugman, R., Li, Y., Monteiro, J. P. 2014. Comparative assessment of climate change and its impacts on three coastal aquifers in the Mediterranean. Regional environmental change.14.1: 41-56.
Shukla, P., & Singh, R. M. 2018. Groundwater System Modelling and Sensitivity of Groundwater Level Prediction in Indo-Gangetic Alluvial Plains. In Groundwater (pp. 55-66). Springer, Singapore.     
Taylor, R. G., Scanlon, B., Döll, P., Rodell, M., Van Beek, R., Wada, Y., ... & Konikow, L. 2013. Ground water and climate change. Nature Climate Change. 3.4: 322.
Van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., ... & Masui, T. 2011. The representative concentration pathways: an overview. Climatic change, 109.1-2: 5.
Woldeamlak, S. T., Batelaan, O., & De Smedt, F. 2007. Effects of climate change on the groundwater system in the Grote-Nete catchment, Belgium. Hydrogeology Journal. 15.5: 891-901.
Yusoff, I., Hiscock, K. M., & Conway, D. 2002. Simulation of the impacts of climate change on groundwater resources in eastern England. Geological Society, London, Special Publications. 193.1: 325-344.
Iranian Journal of Irrigation & Drainage
Volume 13, Issue 5 - Serial Number 77
November and December 2019
Pages 1388-1397

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics